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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 14 Aug 12 Edition

Twelve weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s decided to try to shake things up by selecting Tea Party (TP) darling Congressman Paul Ryan as his running mate, and he’s still trying to dodge the need to release his tax records, but now it seems he’s required his VP candidates to release many years of tax records to his campaign before he could select them, nothing like hypocrisy on a grand level.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 7 – 8 Aug 12, showed the President with a 54% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 48%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current IBD/CSM/TIPP poll of registered voters conducted 3 – 10 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 39

The most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 8 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 52/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 2 – 6 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 42

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 14 Aug 12

Obama 319/219
Obama 297/241
Obama 295/243
Obama/Romney 269/269
Obama 317/221

Obama 287/251
Obama 274/264
Obama 318/220
Obama 292/246
Obama 279/259

Romney 273/265
Obama 332/206
Obama 314/224
Obama 291/247
Romney 277/261

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only two victories and one tie, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on August 14, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 07 Aug 12 Edition

Thirteen weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s still trying to dodge the need to release his tax records and the heat’s now been turned on by Senate Leader Harry Reid who announced on floor of the United States Senate that he’d received a phone call from a former Bain investor who claimed Willard hadn’t paid any taxes in ten years; Romney’s campaign turned around and told Senator Reid to prove it, and to “put up or shut up”. Oddly enough that’s how Willard could solve this problem, he could put up and then everyone else would shut up.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted from 16 – 26 Jul 12, showed the President with a 50% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 37%. No candidate has ever even come close to winning the presidency with such pathetic favorability ratings.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 31 Jul – 06 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

The most recent Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 26 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 41

And finally, the most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 07 Aug 12

Obama 324/214
Obama 302/236
Obama 325/213
Obama 286/252
Obama 319/219

Obama 288/250
Obama 312/226
Romney 273/265
Obama 347/191
Romney 271/267

Obama 347/191
Obama 320/218
Obama 304/234
Obama 342/196
Obama 311/227

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on August 7, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Allen West says “Romney’s VP Pick Needs Military Experience” – like the kind he has?

Various news sources are saying soon-to-be one term Republican Tea Party (GOTP) Congressman Allen (Walter E. Kurtz) West told a group of young conservatives at the Young America’s Foundation’s National Conservative Student Conference that military experience is the most important trait that presumptive GOTP presidential nominee Willard Mitt Romney’s running mate must have.

“First time in 77 years there is a possibility that neither the sitting president and vice president, or the candidates for president and vice president have served in the military … and when I look at the number one title for president of the United States of America is commander in chief, that’s what concerns me,” Kurtz (West) said.

West (Kurtz) says Willard needs to fill the holes in his own resume with a running mate, especially a G.I. Joe type, All-American like himself?

“I think that whoever Governor Romney is as a presidential candidate, he has to do his own self-assessment, self-analysis and understand ‘where are my weaknesses,'” Kurtz (West) preached. “Therefore, the person that I have running with me as my ‘fox-hole buddy,’ if I want to put it in military terms, they have to be someone that shores up where I see my weakness are so we can be a really strong command team, leadership team.”

Reportedly, West (Kurtz) laughed when a student asked him to weigh in on a potential GOP vice presidential candidate, but then warmed to the subject of essentially nominating himself.

“Oh man, there are cameras on here,” Kurtz (West) said. The congressman then went on to tamp down any speculation that he himself was ever a potential pick. “I was never being considered,” he said (until I threw my own hat into the ring right now!).

Of course, the last person Romney – or any other GOTP nominee – needs on the ticket with them is a former military officer forced into retirement after discharging his weapon next to the head of a prisoner he had just told he was going to execute. West (Kurtz) is a loaded mouth waiting to discharge.

 
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Posted by on August 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Reasons Why I Can’t (Wouldn’t) Vote for Romney – 4 Aug 12 Edition

The ever expanding list of reasons as to why I can’t (wouldn’t) vote for Willard Mitt Romney because he:

30 Jul 12 – Demonstrates yet again that he hasn’t got a clue about foreign policy when he insults the Palestinian people Palestinian people and mocks the Arab Spring while visiting Israel during his “Magical Mystery Tour” to England, Israel and Poland.

28 Jul 12 – He manages to insult one of our oldest and closest allies by proclaiming London isn’t ready for the Olympics – among other things; UK papers declare “Mitt’s a twit

16 Jul 12 – He outsourced 2002 U.S. Olympic Team uniforms to Burma

12 Jul 12 – Lied to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) about his role at Bain Capital; possibly committed a felony

12 Jul 12 – Lied about when he left Bain Capital

16 Jun 12 – Said he’d do opposite of everything President Obama’s done for Israel

14 Jun 12 – Said it was OK to fire public sector employees

12 Jun 12 – Claimed he wanted to serve in Vietnam although granted multiple deferments

09 Jun12 – Thinks we have too many teachers, fire fighters and police officers

05 Jun 12 –Confirmed earlier confirmation there’s a village missing him

30 May 12 –Has morons on his team –misspells America on campaign iPhone app

29 May 12 – Chose to chum around with Trump

18 May 12 –Confirmed there’s a village missing him

11 May 12 –Joked about bullying a fellow student in high school 

09 May 12 – Lied about saving the auto industry

19 Apr 12 – Refused to release Tax Returns and lied about John Kerry

17 Apr 12 – Failed to denounce Ted Nugent

14 Apr 12 – Thought “struggling” in college was divesting some of your stock portfolio

11 Apr 12 – Willard didn’t know what the Lilly Ledbetter Act was

29 Mar 12 – Told a “humorous” story about firing people

29 mar 12 – Accepted campaign money from Pink Slime producer

28 Mar 12 – Supported Scott Walker

27 Mar 12 – Thought the Soviet Union’s still our number one threat

20 Mar 12 – Said he endorses Paul Ryan’s budget plan

19 Mar 12 – Said he’d push back against “evil” teachers unions

23 Feb 12 – Lied about requiring Massachusetts’ non-profit hospitals to provide emergency contraception

10 Feb 12 –Claimed only Americans place hand over heart to show how much we love our country

01 Feb 12 – Said he “Doesn’t Worry About the Poor

27 Jan 12 – Failed to Report Interest Earned in His Off Shore Accounts

27 Jan 12 – Lied about his Fannie and Freddie investments being in a blind trust

18 Jan 12 – Stashed Millions in Offshore Accounts

17 Jan 12 – Said $362,000 in Speaking Fees is ‘Not Very Much’?

11 Jan 12 – Believes class warfare is about envy

09 Jan 12 – Vetoed contraception bill for rape victims as governor

09 Jan 12 – Claimed he “likes to fire people”

05 Jan 12 – He released tax plan, steal from the poor and give to the rich

04 Jan 12 – Said Big Bird would get the boot

13 Dec 11 – Bet Perry $10k during a debate

28 Nov 11 – Constantly flip-flops

23 Nov 11 – Said false ad’s OK

14 Nov 11 – Said he’d prepare for war with Iran

08 Oct 11 – Lied to cadets at the Citadel

22 Sep 11 – Claimed to be middle class

06 Sep 11 – He released economic plan favors the rich over everyone else

11 Aug 11 – Said “corporations are people”

05 Aug 11 – Pledged himself to evangelical group

01 Aug 11 – Opposed deal on debt ceiling

06 Jul 11 – Lied about the economy

 
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Posted by on August 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney says, ‘I Have Paid Taxes Every Year; a Lot of Taxes.’

According to news reports, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presumptive presidential wannabe Willard Mitt Romney is insisting he’s paid taxes every year and is challenging Democratic Senate Majority Leader (and fellow Latter-day Saint) Harry Reid “to put up or shut up” with his accusations he hasn’t.

“Let me also say categorically: I have paid taxes every year. A lot of taxes. A lot of taxes,” Willard mewed to reporters in Nevada.

“Harry Reid really has to put up or shut up, alright? So Harry, who are your sources?” Romney whined, referring to the Senator’s claim a Bain Capital investor told him Willard hadn’t paid taxes in 10 years.

As the GOTP candidate has been continually pressured to release his tax records, and was asked yet again why he wouldn’t just release them rather than continue engaging in a back-and-forth with Senator Reid, Willard deflected saying people should visit his website to see his financial disclosure statements dating back to 2002 and his 2010 tax return.

“Go on the website, you’ll be surprised to see the amazing amount of data that’s associated with our campaign’s disclosure,” he said.

Yeah, about that; I went to the “website” and was surprised to see nothing at all regarding Willard’s tax records or financial disclosure, at least not easily found. Perhaps he was referring to his offshore website, the one in the Caymans?

Despite Romney’s whining about the unfair amount of taxes he’s allegedly paid, Senator Reid said it’s time for Willard to stop “insulting” the American public by refusing to release his tax returns.

“It’s hard to say which is more insulting to Americans’ intelligence, Mitt Romney’s tax plan or his refusal to show the American people what’s in his tax returns,” Reid said in a statement. “Romney seems to think he’s above the basic level of transparency and openness that every presidential candidate has lived up to since his father set the standard in 1968.”

“In short, Romney’s message to Nevadans is this: He won’t release his taxes, but he wants to raise yours.”

He accused Romney of being “the most secretive presidential candidate since Richard Nixon” and pointed out that even nominees overseen by the Senate Finance Committee have to produce more tax returns that Romney is willing to release.

“Forget about president — Mitt Romney couldn’t get confirmed as a cabinet secretary,” Reid said. “The contents of the one year of returns he has released would probably be enough to tank his nomination anyway: secret overseas bank accounts in Switzerland and the Cayman Islands, tax avoidance tricks and a lower tax rate than middle-class families pay.”

Whatever Senator Reid’s reasons for suddenly going after Romney on this issue it’s a political strategy which is a win/win for Democrats and a lose/lose more for Romney. If Romney continues to refuse to release his taxes the furor won’t go away and it won’t lessen in intensity. This began back during the GOTP primaries when his opponents – fellow conservatives – went after him on his tax records.

To not release makes him look elitist, out of touch and possibly hiding something very messy. To release could affect his campaign by some embarrassing fact like he paid less in taxes than average Americans. We already know that, its old news. Politically this is not a smart play. Romney should remember Nixon’s famous “Checker’s Speech”; he should release the records declare what’s in them, especially if there’s anything that could draw fire, and move on. Get the splinter removed before it festers and becomes the equivalent of political blood poisoning. Or, just keep arguing about how “it’s not required by law”, and “I have a right to privacy” blaah, blaah, blaah …

 
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Posted by on August 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Tea Party says Romney Better Move to Right?

According to news reports the Tea Party (whoever that really is) following an upset primary win by Tea Party (TP) backed Ted Cruz in Texas is telling the presumptive Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential nominee Willard Mitt Romney he better start toeing the mark.

Tea Party backed Republican Texas Senate candidate Rafael Edward Cruz

“These guys [newly elected Tea Party candidates]” are going to force Romney to the right,” said Andrea Shell, a spokeswoman for Tea Party group Freedom Works. “That is our entire mission.”

Cruz won the Texas Republican primary Tuesday night, which considering it is Texas is a virtual win in November as well.

His victory appears – at least on the surface – to be the latest in a string of TP candidates to use anti-establishment frustration within the party to overcome the seemingly deep pockets of more “traditional” conservative candidates; meaning it’s possible to defeat money in the general election folks – even the seemingly bottomless pockets of the Koch Brothers.

“If we can elect a really conservative House and Senate that will force Romney to go along with our bold conservative agenda,” Shell said. “He’s going to have to really, really go to the right. He’ll be working with guys in the House and Senate. He won’t be able to get away with too many middle of the road policies, especially on things like the deficit.”

Of course, first you have to be able to elect “a really conservative House and Senate”, which is unlikely; and second, Willard has be elected President, something also increasingly at odds with the current political trends in poll after poll, but certainly something that could change as Americans are nothing if not fickle.

“If the Tea Party says it wants Romney to move right, I think, that’s were Romney is going anyway,” Newton Leroy Gingrich, former House speaker (who resigned after multiple extra-marital affairs were revealed) and failed GOTP presidential candidate, told ABCNews.com.

“Romney has endorsed the Ryan budget plan, opposed tax increases, and indicated he supports the full repeal of Obamacare. That’s a pretty activist opening day,” Gingrich said.

Yeah, but having that “pretty activist opening day” is a long shot at best, and your candidate just doesn’t seem to have the moxie to pull that off.

“You have to think of Romney as having a foot in the Tea Party and a foot in the establishment,” he said, adding, “that’s right where the Republicans want him.”

Yes, Willard’s trying to have it both ways, being part of the TP and part of the more traditional side of the party; problem with playing both sides is sooner or later you have to choose because a “house divided against itself cannot stand” observed on rather famous former Republican President.

The problem with the Tea Partistas is they just don’t want a candidate simply moving their way they want them completely indoctrinated and marinated in the TP way of life. Romney’s already moved so far to the right during the primaries he’s bending himself into a pretzel to show he’s not some right-wing lunatic, and it’s only adding to the political perception that he’s a flip-flopping etch-a-sketch candidate.

As former Democratic Speaker of the House used to say, “All politics are local”; winning a senate seat in Texas is one thing – especially in a deeply red state, taking those fringe far-right bumper sticker talking points and winning a national election for the presidency is entirely different. The TP had one of its own on the ticket in 2008 and the result was a resounding defeat.

 
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Posted by on August 2, 2012 in 2012 Election, Tea Party

 

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Palin claims Chick-Fil-A boycott has ‘chilling effect’ on First Amendment?

According to news reports, former Republican Tea Party (GOTP) vice-presidential candidate Sarah Palin said during another softball question interview on Fox News, that she fully supported Chick-fil-A President Dan Cathy’s decision (of course Dan Cathy isn’t really the president of the company his father is – but when has Sarah ever worried about facts?) to publicly express his anti-gay marriage views and claimed the resulting backlash against the company was an affront to free speech.

“Well, that calling for the boycott is a real — has a chilling effect on our 1st Amendment rights,” Palin whined to Fox News’ Greta Van Susteren. “And the owner of the Chick-fil-A business had merely voiced his personal opinion about supporting traditional definition of marriage, one boy, one girl, falling in love, getting married. And having voiced support for kind of that cornerstone of all civilization and all religions since the beginning of time, he then basically [is] getting crucified.”

Isn’t it interesting how the “owner” has a right to express his views (under the First Amendment) but no one can object to them? Is a boycott not a legitimate form of political speech? If corporations are people, then can’t other people decide not to associate with that person if they so choose?

“I’m speaking up for him and his 1st Amendment rights and anybody else who would wish to express their not anti-gay people sentiment, but their support of traditional marriage, which President Obama and Joe Biden, they both supported the exact same thing until just a few months ago, when Obama had to flip-flop to shore up the homosexual voter base,” Palin bemoaned.

Ah yes, the old “Obama had to shore up his Gay voter base” because they might go flooding over to the GOTP? Once more, isn’t it funny how conservatives – like Romney – can have his ideas or beliefs evolve, rather than flip-flop, but Liberals can’t. The President by-the-way hasn’t said he supports federal intervention; rather he said it should be left up to the states to decide.

Of course every conservative talking face on FOX has rallied to the restaurant’s defense, with former GOTP presidential wannabe Mike Huckabee organizing a “Chick-fil-A Apprectiation Day“.

Wherever anyone stands on Gay Marriage, the idea boycotting a company, or protesting some wing-nut’s ideas is bad for the First Amendment is just plain stupid. Only someone as ignorant of what the Bill of Rights is really about like Palin would say that; just one more piece of evidence demonstrating just how blessed we are that she isn’t the Vice-President.

 
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Posted by on August 1, 2012 in Bill of Rights, Right Wing Crazies

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 31 Jul 12 Edition

We’ve only got 14 weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s in the midst of his 2012 World Tour! Unfortunately for Willard it hasn’t been the rousing success he had no doubt hoped for; after insulting Great Britain – repeatedly – one British paper’s front page declared “Mitt the Twit!” Next he went to Israel declaring Jerusalem was the capital and denigrating the Arab Spring as well as insulting the Palestinians; and finally while in Warsaw, Poland his Press Secretary told the Press, “kiss my ____” and to “shove it”.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

No new favorability polls yet, but the last CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 Jul 12 – 16 Jul 12, showed the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 23 – 30 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 18 – 22 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Jul 12

Obama 329/209
Obama 286/252
Obama 294/244
Obama 327/211
Romney 286/252

Romney 301/237
Obama 308/230
Obama 299/239
Obama 323/215
Obama 341/197

Romney 275/263
Obama 328/210
Obama 325/213
Obama 307/231
Obama 326/212

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on July 31, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney manages to offend Palestinians

According to the Associated Press (AP), Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wannabe Willard Mitt Romney told Jewish donors this week it was their culture that allowed them to be more economically successful than the Palestinians, which of course outraged Palestinian leaders who called immediately called Willard’s comments not only out of touch but racist.

“As you come here and you see the GDP per capita, for instance, in Israel which is about $21,000 dollars, and compare that with the GDP per capita just across the areas managed by the Palestinian Authority, which is more like $10,000 per capita, you notice such a dramatically stark difference in economic vitality,” Willard mewed.

It took no time for Palestinian leaders to react, “It is a racist statement and this man doesn’t realize that the Palestinian economy cannot reach its potential because there is an Israeli occupation,” said Saeb Erekat, a senior aide to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas.

But the criticism of Romney didn’t end there, “It seems to me this man (Romney) lacks information, knowledge, vision and understanding of this region and its people,” Erekat added. “He also lacks knowledge about the Israelis themselves. I have not heard any Israeli official speak about cultural superiority.”

According to the AP, the economic disparity between the Israelis and the Palestinians is actually much greater than Romney claimed. Israel had a per capita gross domestic product of about $31,000 in 2011, while the West Bank and Gaza had a per capita GDP of just over $1,500, according to the World Bank.

Standing on Israeli soil for the first time as the GOTP’s presumptive presidential nominee, Willard declared Jerusalem to be the capital of the Jewish state and said the United States has promised never to “look away from our passion and commitment to Israel.”

Romney’s campaign says his trip abroad, which began with his sophomoric missteps in England, was supposed to improve his foreign policy experience through a series of meetings with foreign leaders; instead it’s been a very clear demonstration of how completely unprepared Willard is to assume the role as America’s President.

 
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Posted by on July 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Obama releases $70 million for Israel before Romney trip

President Barack Obama seems to have trumped Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wannabe Willard Mitt Romney by announcing he’s releasing an additional $70 million in military aid for Israel the day before Willard traveled to Israel on the second leg of his so-called international trip.

But it can’t possibly be a big deal for Romney since he’s already said he’d do the opposite of everything the President’s done for Israel. So, logically one can assume Willard wouldn’t have given any additional monies.

The stepped-up U.S. aid, first announced in May, will go to help Israel expand production of a short-range rocket defense system known as “Iron Dome”, which has proved successful at stopping rocket attacks fired at Israeli civilians from close range, including from Gaza. The President announced the new military assistance as he signed a bill in the Oval Office expanding military and civilian cooperation with Israel.

The President said the bill underscores the United States’ “unshakable commitment to Israel.”

 
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Posted by on July 28, 2012 in 2012 Election, Israel

 

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